20% Chance of Rain: Exploring the Concept of Risk
Richard B. Jones
Format: PDF / Kindle (mobi) / ePub
There are plenty of books on specialized risk topics but few that deal with the broad diversity and daily applicability of this subject. Risk applications require a robust knowledge of many attributes of this seemingly simple subject. This book teaches the reader through examples and case studies the fundamental (and subtle) aspects of risk - regardless of the specific situation. The text allows the reader to understand the concept of risk analysis while not getting too involved in the mathematics; in this method the reader can apply these techniques across a wide range of situations.
The second edition includes new examples from NASA and several other industries as well as new case studies from legal databases. The many real-life discussion topics enable the reader to form an understanding of the concepts of risk and risk management and apply them to day-to-day issues.
cancer deaths in Europe, North America, Asia, and Australia . All of the exposure-response curves showed an approximate linear increasing relationship between radon exposure and lung cancer incidence, but the results varied considerably. The variation was partly explained by the fact that eight of the studies involved uranium and the others tin, fluorspar, and iron mines. The mixed results could be from other contaminants and carcinogens that can occur in some of these underground
generally the Europeans have a different view of genetically engineered foods than the U.S. Congress and the food industry. To give you a perspective of the extent to which genetically modified have penetrated U.S. food products, it has been estimated that about 75% of processed food on supermarket shelves, such as soda, soup, and crackers, contain genetically engineered ingredients . If Congress required genetically engineered food labels, I think we would be surprised to learn the true
from liquid—specifically from tequila . Economics: The directors, executives, and auditors of four Icelandic banks—Kaupthing Bank, Landsbanki, Glitnir Bank, and Central Bank of Iceland—for demonstrating that tiny banks can be rapidly transformed into huge banks, and vice versa—and for demonstrating that similar things can be done to an entire national economy. Literature: Ireland’s police service (An Garda Siochana), for writing and presenting more than fifty traffic tickets to the most
amount of married years? This subject is a current topic of research, so depending on how you analyze this complex issue, you will end up with different answers. The single point I am making here is that the basic premise for the “50% statistic” appears to have been an improper interpretation of technically correct statistics. HOW STATISTICS SHOULD BE REPORTED: RULES OF THUMB So far I’ve made a big deal of the fact that people can be mistaken, misinformed, and misguided by inaccurate,
doubt that insurance companies would have had much business there. Probably the oldest and most read essay on risk is “The Art of War” [2–4], written by Sun Tzu sometime between the 5th and 6th century B.C. The text is 5,600 words in length written in the form of thirteen short chapters, each on a different aspect of tactics. The widespread application of the book comes from the reinterpretation of the text for specific situations. Seldom, if ever, does a set words—let alone a book—have only one